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Over 100% damage is not a guaranteed knockout

Three recorded cases compare the calculator with actual turns: acting too late, a missed Thunder, and a slower Blue Pokémon moving first.

Tested · Published · Daily Red maintainers

Site-maintenance byline. These are isolated tests, not player results or endorsements.

A range describes a hit under stated conditions

The preparation tool compares real Quick or Blue configurations at full HP, without weather, status or existing boosts. It includes the configured level, nature, IVs, EVs, ability and item. It does not choose RED’s action, simulate a full turn or predict critical hits.

Use the percentages as damage divided by the target’s maximum HP. A range above 100% is meaningful, so it is not capped. Accuracy is listed separately: multiplying damage by accuracy is not a new damage range. In Gen 3, the move type determines physical or special damage; modern move categories can give the wrong expectation.

Damage / target full HP
ModeMoveDamage / target full HPAccuracy
RED · Vaporeon → PikachuSurf281–331 / 212 (132.5–156.1%)100%
RED · Pikachu → GengarThunder276–325 / 262 (105.3–124.0%)70%
Blue · Scizor → PidgeotQuick Attack62–73 / 308 (20.1–23.7%)100%
Configured Speed
ModeLeadConfigured Speed
REDVaporeon229
REDPikachu306
BlueScizor229
BluePidgeot309

Case 1: Surf is large enough, but never happens

On 20 October, Vaporeon’s Surf against Pikachu is estimated at 281–331 HP, or 132.5–156.1% of Pikachu’s 212 maximum HP. Vaporeon has 229 Speed; Pikachu has 306. In the actual normal-AI route, Pikachu uses Thunderbolt first and Vaporeon faints before Surf is executed.

The calculator has not promised that Vaporeon gets a turn. The offensive estimate remains a conditional estimate of a hit; it is not a guarantee about move order, survival or the result. Check the incoming attacks as carefully as your strongest outgoing one.

Case 2: a 70%-accuracy attack misses

Using the same RED date and Gengar lead, we set the opponent command to Thunder for one isolated test turn. This deliberately bypasses the normal RED AI for that fixture only; it is not evidence that the live AI normally selects Thunder here. Gengar uses Thunderbolt, then the log records Pikachu’s Thunder missing.

Thunder’s full-health reference is 276–325 against Gengar’s 262 HP, with 70% accuracy. In this tested turn it deals no damage because it misses. Keep the damage interval, accuracy and observed event as three separate facts. One miss does not measure the long-run miss rate.

Complete recorded route · RED

Standard Showdown protocol and import names remain in English. These are static, sanitized test logs; reading them never starts or restores a game.

|gametype|singles
|player|p1|You||
|player|p2|RED||
|gen|3
|tier|[Gen 3] Custom Game
|rule|HP Percentage Mod: HP is shown in percentages
|
|teamsize|p1|6
|teamsize|p2|6
|start
|split|p1
|switch|p1a: Gengar|Gengar, F|262/262
|switch|p1a: Gengar|Gengar, F|262/262
|split|p2
|switch|p2a: Pikachu|Pikachu, M|212/212
|switch|p2a: Pikachu|Pikachu, M|212/212
|turn|1
|
|move|p1a: Gengar|Thunderbolt|p2a: Pikachu
|-resisted|p2a: Pikachu
|split|p2
|-damage|p2a: Pikachu|91/212
|-damage|p2a: Pikachu|91/212
|move|p2a: Pikachu|Thunder|p1a: Gengar|[miss]
|-miss|p2a: Pikachu|p1a: Gengar
|
|upkeep
|turn|2

Case 3: Speed is not the only ordering rule

This case is Blue, not RED. On the same date, Scizor has 229 configured Speed and Pidgeot has 309. We choose Scizor’s Quick Attack, which has priority +1; Blue’s existing AI selects Pidgeot’s Double-Edge at priority 0. The log shows Scizor acting first, leaving Pidgeot at 238/308 HP before its attack.

Pidgeot then attacks, takes recoil, and Scizor receives Leftovers recovery. Those later HP changes are not all damage from Quick Attack. Use the read-only playback to follow the recorded order and distinguish attacks, recoil and recovery. It replays saved events; it does not rerun the battle or reveal an alternative future.

Complete recorded route · Blue

Standard Showdown protocol and import names remain in English. These are static, sanitized test logs; reading them never starts or restores a game.

|gametype|singles
|player|p1|You||
|player|p2|BLUE||
|gen|3
|tier|[Gen 3] Custom Game
|rule|HP Percentage Mod: HP is shown in percentages
|
|teamsize|p1|6
|teamsize|p2|6
|start
|split|p1
|switch|p1a: Scizor|Scizor, F|282/282
|switch|p1a: Scizor|Scizor, F|282/282
|split|p2
|switch|p2a: Pidgeot|Pidgeot, M|308/308
|switch|p2a: Pidgeot|Pidgeot, M|308/308
|turn|1
|
|move|p1a: Scizor|Quick Attack|p2a: Pidgeot
|split|p2
|-damage|p2a: Pidgeot|238/308
|-damage|p2a: Pidgeot|238/308
|move|p2a: Pidgeot|Double-Edge|p1a: Scizor
|-resisted|p1a: Scizor
|split|p1
|-damage|p1a: Scizor|170/282
|-damage|p1a: Scizor|170/282
|split|p2
|-damage|p2a: Pidgeot|201/308|[from] Recoil|[of] p1a: Scizor
|-damage|p2a: Pidgeot|201/308|[from] Recoil|[of] p1a: Scizor
|
|split|p1
|-heal|p1a: Scizor|187/282|[from] item: Leftovers
|-heal|p1a: Scizor|187/282|[from] item: Leftovers
|upkeep
|turn|2

Test conditions & sources

Gen 3 · 20 October 2026 team · simulator 0.10.11 · calculator 0.12.0. Tests repeated on 29 October 2026. Numbers apply to this edition and configuration only.

SHA-256 3b994329766f5fe70dbaf8548c3c78ad4cc777e920455a4d8ce5020d6f7ae213

Exact test configurations

Standard Showdown protocol and import names remain in English. These are static, sanitized test logs; reading them never starts or restores a game.

Gengar @ Leftovers
Ability: Levitate
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Thunderbolt
- Ice Punch
- Psychic
- Will-O-Wisp

Vaporeon @ Leftovers
Ability: Water Absorb
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Bold Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Surf
- Ice Beam
- Toxic
- Protect

Gyarados @ Leftovers
Ability: Intimidate
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Adamant Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Earthquake
- Return
- Dragon Dance
- Hydro Pump

Nidoking @ Leftovers
Ability: Poison Point
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Adamant Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Earthquake
- Rock Slide
- Megahorn
- Sludge Bomb

Raichu @ Magnet
Ability: Static
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Thunderbolt
- Thunder Wave
- Brick Break
- Encore

Alakazam @ Twisted Spoon
Ability: Synchronize
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Psychic
- Calm Mind
- Recover
- Ice Punch

RED
Pikachu @ Light Ball
Ability: Static
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Hasty Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Thunderbolt
- Iron Tail
- Quick Attack
- Thunder

Espeon @ Leftovers
Ability: Synchronize
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Psychic
- Shadow Ball
- Bite
- Quick Attack

Snorlax @ Leftovers
Ability: Immunity
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Adamant Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Body Slam
- Earthquake
- Shadow Ball
- Rock Slide

Venusaur @ Miracle Seed
Ability: Overgrow
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Modest Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Giga Drain
- Sludge Bomb
- Earthquake
- Razor Leaf

Charizard @ Charcoal
Ability: Blaze
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Flamethrower
- Dragon Claw
- Earthquake
- Aerial Ace

Blastoise @ Mystic Water
Ability: Torrent
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Modest Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Surf
- Ice Beam
- Earthquake
- Brick Break

BLUE / Exact test configurations
Machamp @ Leftovers
Ability: Guts
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Adamant Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Cross Chop
- Rock Slide
- Earthquake
- Bulk Up

Scizor @ Leftovers
Ability: Swarm
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Adamant Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Silver Wind
- Steel Wing
- Swords Dance
- Quick Attack

Espeon @ Twisted Spoon
Ability: Synchronize
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Psychic
- Calm Mind
- Morning Sun
- Bite

Exeggutor @ Lum Berry
Ability: Chlorophyll
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Modest Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Psychic
- Giga Drain
- Sleep Powder
- Sunny Day

Nidoking @ Leftovers
Ability: Poison Point
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Adamant Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Earthquake
- Rock Slide
- Megahorn
- Sludge Bomb

Alakazam @ Twisted Spoon
Ability: Synchronize
Level: 100
EVs: 6 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Psychic
- Calm Mind
- Recover
- Ice Punch

BLUE
Pidgeot @ Choice Band
Ability: Keen Eye
Level: 100
EVs: 4 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Jolly Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Double-Edge
- Aerial Ace
- Quick Attack
- Steel Wing

Alakazam @ Lum Berry
Ability: Synchronize
Level: 100
EVs: 4 HP / 0 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Psychic
- Fire Punch
- Calm Mind
- Recover

Rhydon @ Choice Band
Ability: Rock Head
Level: 100
EVs: 4 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Adamant Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Earthquake
- Rock Slide
- Double-Edge
- Megahorn

Exeggutor @ Leftovers
Ability: Chlorophyll
Level: 100
EVs: 252 HP / 0 Atk / 4 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 0 Spe
Modest Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Psychic
- Giga Drain
- Sleep Powder
- Explosion

Gyarados @ Leftovers
Ability: Intimidate
Level: 100
EVs: 4 HP / 252 Atk / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Adamant Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Dragon Dance
- Return
- Earthquake
- Taunt

Charizard @ Charcoal
Ability: Blaze
Level: 100
EVs: 0 HP / 4 Atk / 0 Def / 252 SpA / 0 SpD / 252 Spe
Hasty Nature
IVs: 31 HP / 31 Atk / 31 Def / 31 SpA / 31 SpD / 31 Spe
Happiness: 255
- Fire Blast
- Dragon Claw
- Earthquake
- Aerial Ace

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